Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.054441 0.059002 0.063611 0.068613 0.073878 0.079250 0.085139
2025-04-20 0.046612 0.053235 0.060164 0.067924 0.076348 0.085189 0.095144
2025-04-27 0.041266 0.049396 0.058159 0.068248 0.079482 0.091547 0.105428
2025-05-04 0.037605 0.046948 0.057292 0.069485 0.083356 0.098542 0.116320
2025-05-11 0.035153 0.045567 0.057372 0.071573 0.088026 0.106328 0.128063
2025-05-18 0.030558 0.041300 0.053794 0.069159 0.087305 0.107828 0.132559
2025-05-25 0.027651 0.038802 0.052075 0.068711 0.088687 0.111595 0.139541
2025-06-01 0.025139 0.036588 0.050518 0.068296 0.089971 0.115147 0.146203
2025-06-08 0.024109 0.036148 0.051057 0.070359 0.094175 0.122114 0.156870
2025-06-15 0.022854 0.035314 0.051021 0.071647 0.097395 0.127891 0.166140
2025-06-22 0.021509 0.034260 0.050625 0.072416 0.099931 0.132822 0.174399
2025-06-29 0.019905 0.032750 0.049547 0.072241 0.101234 0.136220 0.180796
2025-07-06 0.019090 0.032310 0.049883 0.073919 0.104934 0.142655 0.191032
2025-07-13 0.017438 0.030590 0.048432 0.073214 0.105577 0.145317 0.196686
2025-07-20 0.016303 0.029538 0.047823 0.073564 0.107536 0.149596 0.204332
2025-07-27 0.015588 0.029054 0.047955 0.074871 0.110713 0.155396 0.213875
2025-08-03 0.015218 0.029062 0.048754 0.077071 0.115060 0.162690 0.225318
2025-08-10 0.013399 0.026725 0.046139 0.074531 0.113113 0.161967 0.226714
2025-08-17 0.012344 0.025513 0.045071 0.074061 0.113856 0.164631 0.232340
2025-08-24 0.011381 0.024382 0.044062 0.073624 0.114604 0.167279 0.237936
2025-08-31 0.011184 0.024501 0.044902 0.075796 0.118879 0.174504 0.249382
2025-09-07 0.010786 0.024255 0.045176 0.077151 0.122046 0.180306 0.259042
2025-09-14 0.010276 0.023784 0.045081 0.077961 0.124462 0.185133 0.267475